The role of emerging carbon removal solutions in the future of the EU’s climate policy and energy security

The role of emerging carbon removal solutions in the future of the EU’s climate policy and energy security

“Transformative Climate Media for Urban Futures”<br />
Report on the international and interdisciplinary symposium<br />

The LOCALISED partner, CMCC has published a paper in the journal of Frontiers in Chemical Engineering where it has developed a game theoretical framework to analyse and understand the interaction among the key players in the EU’s climate and energy policy making domain in case emerging technologies for removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere such as direct air capture (DAC) becomes commercially available.

The model is capable of adjusting for different energy market conditions such as the monopolistic behaviour of Russia while supplying natural gas to the EU as well as the growing reliance of major EU countries such as Germany on domestic coal.

The game theory model considers two scenarios of full-cooperation among the EU member states and full-competition among them. It reveals interesting some insights into how carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies can affect energy security and climate change policies at the EU level.

First, if the natural gas markets are competitive and not dominated by one major player such as Russia, cooperation or competition among the EU member states will not change the incentives to deploy considerable levels of DAC to achieve climate stability targets. Nevertheless, full-cooperation among the EU member states means stronger incentives for climate change mitigation and therefore, less reliance on domestic coal, the most polluting source of energy. However, in the absence of alternative renewable energies, less coal means more natural gas and more dependency on foreign energy sources.

Second, if the natural gas market is dominated by a major player like Russia, the decisions of the EU member states to coordinate and align their climate and energy policies can influence the foreign supplier’s choice of natural gas export price. In this case, full-cooperation sends a strong signal to the supplier that the EU is committed to reducing its GHG emissions and therefore, replacing dirtier domestic coal with cleaner imported natural gas. This motivates the supplier to set a higher price for natural gas in this case but at the same time encourages the Eu to invest more in DAC to reach its climate targets. Competition among the EU member states on the other hand, forces the monopolistic supplier to offer lower gas prices to dissuade the EU countries from switching to domestic coal. In this case, DAC deployment is reduced as the stringency of any EU climate policy is jeopardised by competition among member states to meet their domestic energy demands.

In short, this analysis highlights the need for aligning the development of emerging mitigation technologies such as DAC with local mitigation and energy procurement efforts in achieving climate stabilisation targets.

Overview of Renovation Wave policies in 4 EU countries reveals a common theme and approaches

Overview of Renovation Wave policies in 4 EU countries reveals a common theme and approaches

“Transformative Climate Media for Urban Futures”<br />
Report on the international and interdisciplinary symposium<br />

The Renovation Wave (RW) initiative has been designed by the European Union (EU) to tackle the dual problem of economic growth and energy saving in the building sector. In particular, it aims to double the annual energy renovation rate throughout the EU by 2030 and to foster deep energy renovations. As a result, such interventions could inevitably not only stimulate economic growth by creating new jobs and new demands for renovation but also foster the EU’s contribution to sustainable development goals (SDGs) through the implementation of Sustainable Energy and Climate Action Plans (SECAPs) before 2030.

As part of the LOCALISED project, researchers at CMCC in collaboration with IREC, PIK, IMP, and Julich developed a framework for analysing RW programs in four selected countries: Italy, Spain, Poland, and Germany. They analysed information including duration of the program, funding size, target groups (designated recipients), coverage (national or regional), and as a conclusion, whether the adoption of these programs leads to structural change or not. Table 1 shows the comparative statistics about the RW programs in each country. As shown here, most programs in these 4 countries are short-term (1-3 years) with medium budget (between 201 and 999 million of Euro) and targeted towards municipalities as the main recipient.

“Transformative Climate Media for Urban Futures”<br />
Report on the international and interdisciplinary symposium<br />

Table 1: general information about the programs

Next, researchers focused on specific interventions in each program and tried to link them to the LOCALISED Mitigation/Adaptation database, and also to relevant sustainable development goals (SDGs) and Sustainable Energy and Climate Action Plans (SECAPs)  initiatives through specific Key Performance Indicators (KPIs).

“Transformative Climate Media for Urban Futures”<br />
Report on the international and interdisciplinary symposium<br />

Figure 1: the most frequent SDGs per country

The findings of this research summarised in Figure 1, indicate that Renovation Wave programs at the national level offer a strong link to SDGs and specifically SDG 7  which aims at ensuring access to affordable, reliable, sustainable, and modern energy, is present in 92% of the analysed  programs.

The two other commonly linked SDGs (SDG 11 and SDG 9) focus on making cities and human settlements, building resilient infrastructure, promoting sustainable industrialization, and fostering innovation.

In terms of SECAP KPIs (Figure 2), it’s been shown that mitigation pillar (24%), energy consumption  pillar (22%) and energy poverty pillar (19%)  can be identified as the ones most relevant to the national RW programs.

“Transformative Climate Media for Urban Futures”<br />
Report on the international and interdisciplinary symposium<br />

Figure 2: the most frequent SECAPs per country

Intensive and inspiring days of sharing knowledge about climate change and nature-based solutions for our partner Metropolitan Area Gdańsk-Gdynia-Sopot

Intensive and inspiring days of sharing knowledge about climate change and nature-based solutions for our partner Metropolitan Area Gdańsk-Gdynia-Sopot

“Transformative Climate Media for Urban Futures”<br />
Report on the international and interdisciplinary symposium<br />

Training for teachers  pic.: MAGGS

The educational project “Climate in the Schools of Metropolis” implemented by Metropolitan Area Gdańsk-Gdynia-Sopot – LOCALISED partner – is entering a new stage. Training for nature, biology and geography teachers from 40 schools participating in the project has been completed.

Let’s play green. Environmental education from an early age.

During the training, ecological infrastructure solutions that use the potential of plants, soil and rainwater were discussed. They make it possible to become resistant to the effects of climate change, and ultimately to mitigate and stop them. Nature-based solutions discussed in the project include: rain gardens in the ground and box, retention basins, green walls, compost bins. As part of the project, this infrastructure will be built in 40 metropolitan schools.

Workshop participants also got acquainted with examples of investments and educational projects in the field of water retention and biodiversity protection implemented in Norway. They were presented by the foreign partner International Development Norway.

The project “Climate in the Schools of Metropolis”, which we are implementing with several dozen local governments, focuses on climate science. Thanks to Norwegian funds, we are building green walls, retention basins, rain gardens in schools, and thanks to joint training, teachers will conduct lessons in our schools based on this new infrastructure – says Michał Glaser, CEO of the Board of Metropolitan Area Gdańsk-Gdynia-Sopot.

Timetable for teachers

During the training, ready-made scenarios of lessons were presented, which will be used by teachers. They are intended for grades 4 and 5 of primary school and grades 1 and 2 of secondary school, but due to the flexible and creative formula, they can also be used in other grades as needed.

We familiarize teachers with the subject of small retention: rain gardens in a box, rain gardens in the ground, retention basins, as well as green walls and compost bins. We really want it to be such a practical dimension of knowledge. We really want it to be such a practical dimension of knowledge, so as to inspire, and then so that teachers inspire their students and encourage them to implement – says Maja Skibińska, landscape architect from Pracownia Szelest, co-author of lesson plans.

In order to diversify the lessons, a package of didactic materials has been prepared. The attachments to the scenarios include multimedia presentations, educational boards, worksheets, charts, quizzes, games, inspirations and other teaching aids.

The developed materials will help teachers creatively teach children and youth how to counteract the effects of climate change.

Examples of green-blue infrastructure

In the second part of the training, outdoor visits took place, during which teachers saw examples of green walls or rain gardens in Gdańsk, which are implemented by the substantive partner of the project Gdańskie Wody.

“Transformative Climate Media for Urban Futures”<br />
Report on the international and interdisciplinary symposium<br />

Examples of rain gardens and green walls in Gdańsk pic.:MAGGS

As part of the project, blue and green infrastructure will be built on school grounds. The investments, in addition to the design, earthwork and construction works, will include the construction of installations enabling the proper direction of rainwater, but also the planting of plants appropriately selected for a given type of infrastructure. Each school will additionally receive gardening tools and plants to carry out plantings as part of educational activities.

The project “Climate in the schools of the Metropolis” is implemented as part of the Environment, Energy and Climate Change programme. The funding comes from the European Economic Area Financial Mechanism 2014-2021 and the state budget.

The project “Climate in the schools of the Metropolis” will end at the beginning of 2024. MAGGS implements it in cooperation with the content partner Gdańskie Wody and the foreign partner International Development Norway.

Explore the recent paper on Urban Adaptation plans in Europe of LOCALISED partner University of Twente

Explore the recent paper on Urban Adaptation plans in Europe of LOCALISED partner University of Twente

“Transformative Climate Media for Urban Futures”<br />
Report on the international and interdisciplinary symposium<br />

Fig. 1: Map of European cities with urban climate adaptation plans and their quality score. Colours refer to the age of the plan, i.e. the year of publication, with roughly equal cities in each age group (dividing the total of 167 cities with adaptation plan(s) by three). Yellow depicts plans that are published before mid-2015. Blue depicts plans that are published between mid-2015 and mid-2018. Green refers to plans that are published after mid-2018. Cities in our sample of 327 without an adaptation plan/ plans are shown by small grey dots. Shaded countries have national legislation that requires cities to develop urban climate adaptation plans (France, the UK, Ireland, and Denmark)

Urban adaptation plans in Europe are getting better over time: but we are not focussing on people most in need

A group of scientists evaluated urban adaptation plans in 167 European cities to understand if there is an evolution on plan quality over time. It was found that, from 2005 to 2020, overall adaptation plan quality has improved. When looking into different components of plan quality, we have found that cities’ adaptation planning mostly improved in setting adaptation goals, in suggesting thorough and varied adaptation measures, and in detailing out their implementation. On the other hand, there has been only a slight improvement on monitoring plan implementation and on including civil society in plan making. Likewise, newer plans are slightly better at proposing measures that match the previously identified climate risks. However, the involvement of vulnerable people and the monitoring of adaptation measures by those people affected is still rare. There is a clear positive trend in urban adaptation plans in Europe, but still a long way to go towards more inclusive and robust adaptation planning towards climate risk reduction.

 Global temperature increases confirm that climate change is already happening. We therefore need to adapt to its impacts. Adaptation formed a key part of the 2015 Paris Agreement, which stressed the need to review progress on adaptation, including through regular “Global Stocktakes”. However, given that the effectiveness of many adaptation measures only really becomes apparent after some time, often only after a severe weather event such as a heatwave or storm has hit, it is notoriously difficult to assess this progress. Indeed, to date there is no agreement on the current state of adaptation, what ‘progress’ means, and how it could be assessed.

One approach involves examining the contents of adaptation plans, to analyse the extent to which they identify climate risks and propose measures to reduce the scale of potential impacts. In our new study, published in npj Nature Urban Sustainability, we develop and apply three different indices to assess the quality of these plans, and apply them to 167 cities across Europe.

We found that these cities have improved in their abilities to plan for adaptation. These improvements may come about through processes of collective learning, knowledge transfer, capacity building, transnational networks and other types of science-policy collaborations. However, most local governments are still not considering the needs of vulnerable people, nor involving them in policy formulation and monitoring—something that we regard as necessary for a good adaptation plan, in order to make sure adaptation works for people most in need of it.

Why is it important to evaluate the quality of local climate adaptation plans?

Climate threats are particularly pronounced in cities many of which are highly vulnerable to heatwaves, flash flooding, coastal erosion and storms. Therefore, we might expect that many city governments have set out how they seek to address these threats in official plans. These plans cannot tell the whole story in terms of actual progress in the collective reduction (or redistribution) of climate risks, because they do not tend to monitor implementation or the effectiveness of previous policies. However, they can provide information about the quality and relevance of adaptation processes and actions, and help to assess the likelihood that cities’ advance adaptation goals by reducing risks and increasing resilience equitably. As one previous study put it, ‘the best method to ensuring robust adaptation is to ensure rigorous adaptation planning processes’.

As such, developing and applying a set of indicators to measure and track the quality of urban adaptation plans can help us to learn collectively about how to deal with climate threats better. Our indicators have been incorporated into a free online tool to help city practitioners assess the quality of their own plans, and benchmark their progress against others.

 Defining urban adaptation planning quality

We assessed adaptation plan quality according to six principles that are already well-established in previous studies: 1.) fact base of impacts and risks in the local area; 2.) adaptation goals; 3.) adaptation measures; 4.) details on the implementation of adaptation measures; 5.) monitoring & evaluation of adaptation measures; and 6.) societal participation in plan creation. In addition, we introduced a relatively new aspect concerning the “consistency” of the plans. Consistency means that impacts/ risks, goals, measures, monitoring, and participation are aligned with each other. For example, if a city identifies that it is vulnerable to heatwaves, which put older people are particular risk, then a good plan designs and implements specific heat-related measures that target older people, and puts mechanisms in place to assess whether their vulnerability to heat risks reduces after implementation. We argue that consistency is a very important aspect of plan quality.

Based on a combination of these six principles and various consistency measures, we developed a new index  (named ADAQA) to assess plan quality, and applied it to urban adaptation plans in a sample of 327 European cities, published between 2005 and 2020.

Distribution of plan quality in European cities

Of the whole sample, about 50% , i.e. 167 cities, had an adaptation plan (Fig. 1). Most plans are found in the United Kingdom (UK) (30 plans), Poland and France (22 plans each), and Germany (19 plans). A total of 53 of these 167 cities (32%) developed it under a national, regional, or local law that requires municipalities (sometimes above a certain threshold of population size) to develop an urban climate adaptation plan. This was the case for cities in Denmark, Ireland, the UK and France.

The cities of Sofia (BG), Galway (IE), and Dublin (IE) scored highest (Fig. 2) in the adaptation plan index. Notably, the Irish government requires cities to produce adaptation plans that included certain features (e.g. an assessment of climate risks to the urban area), and this contributed towards their high scores. Galway achieves the highest score and performs particularly well against Principles 1 (fact base: impacts), 4 (implementation), and 6 (participation), and also in terms of taking account of vulnerable sectors in its plan. The city set clear priorities for different actions, identified responsible parties, set out a timeline for implementation, and developed a detailed budget. Furthermore, it involved a wide range of stakeholders in the plan-making process.

Evolution of plan quality over time

We divided our cities into three temporal groups, depending on when their most recent plan was published. We found that plan quality significantly improved over time across these temporal groups (Fig. 1), and also on annual basis (see Fig. 2). Assuming linearity, plan quality increased by about 1.3 points per year from 2005 to 2020.

However, there are clear differences in terms of the various principles of plan quality (Fig. 3). On average, cities improved most in terms of goal setting, suggesting detailed and different measures, and setting out the implementation approach. The plans improved only slightly with regard to monitoring, e.g. the progress of implementing the measures, and including civil society in plan making, i.e. participation.

Urban adaptation plans in Europe are getting better over time 2

Fig. 2: Scores of the plan quality index ADAQA-3 per city over time. The scores are displayed per city and year in which the adaptation plan was published, plus averages of each year and linear trend line, 2005 to 2020. Each dot represents the plan/ plans in one city. The dot colours indicate the temporal group the adaptation plan belongs to, i.e. yellow: older (before mid-2015), blue: medium-old (mid-2015 to mid-2018) and green: recent plans (after mid-2018), with an almost equal number of plans in each group. We call out the first three cities with the highest adaptation plan quality score in each temporal group. The exact scores of each city for ADAQA-1/2/3 are provided as Supplementary Tab. 1 in our published paper

Consistency of plans over time

As mentioned, one of the central characteristics of our index is its focus on consistency between identified climate risks and the measures that the city plans and monitors. We find that the consistency improved slightly over time (Fig. 4), particularly with regards to aligning impacts/ risks with adaptation goals (not shown), and vulnerable sectors/ industries with adaptation measures (consistency 2 in Fig.4). The impacts/ risks for vulnerable groups and how these groups were involved in plan development (consistency 5), as well as how adaptation measures for vulnerable groups were monitoring over time (consistency 4), were also better aligned in later plans.

Very few plans engage vulnerable people in developing plans and monitoring measures, although their involvement in these processes has increased slightly over time. In other words, vulnerable groups (such as infants, older people and those on low incomes) are rarely involved in participation processes and the vast majority of plans make no mention of monitoring and evaluation to address their specific needs. Moreover, urban adaptation plans got worse over time in planning for measures that particularly address these vulnerable groups (consistency 3). That means, more recent plans involve less measures that particularly address identified vulnerable groups.

Urban adaptation plans in Europe are getting better over time 2

Fig. 3a-f: Scores of the adaptation plan quality principles (principles I. to VI.) in ADAQA-3 per city over time. Each dot represents the plan/ plans in one city. The dot colours indicate the temporal group the adaptation plan belongs to, i.e. yellow: older (prior mid-2015), blue: medium-old (mid-2015 to mid-2018) and green: recent plans (after mid-2018), with an almost equal number of plans in each group.

Overall, therefore, although the quality of urban adaptation plans in Europe has improved since 2005, many cities are still lagging behind or are yet to even produce a plan. Furthermore, most of the existing plans do not sufficiently take account of the specific needs of those people who are particularly vulnerable to climate impacts. We hope that our study and the free online tool can help practitioners and policymakers reflect on what they can include in future plans, and thereby contribute towards improved resilience in cities across Europe and elsewhere.

Urban adaptation plans in Europe are getting better over time 2

Figure 6: Scores of the consistency measures (consistency 2 to 5) in ADAQA per temporal group. The bar colours indicate the temporal group in which the adaptation plan was published, i.e. yellow: older (prior mid-2015), blue: medium-old (mid-2015 to mid-2018) and green: recent plans (after mid-2018), with equal plans in each group.

Reckien, D. et al. (2023) Assessing the quality of urban climate adaptation plans over time, npj Nature Urban Sustainability, doi:10.1038/s42949-023-00085-1

“Transformative Climate Media for Urban Futures” – Report on the international and interdisciplinary symposium

“Transformative Climate Media for Urban Futures” – Report on the international and interdisciplinary symposium

“Transformative Climate Media for Urban Futures”<br />
Report on the international and interdisciplinary symposium<br />

From 24-25 January 2023, Tobias Gralke and Bernd Hezel from the LOCALISED project partner Climate Media Factory co-hosted the international and interdisciplinary symposium “Transformative Climate Media for Urban Futures” at the Brandenburg Center for Media Studies in Potsdam, Germany. Since LOCALISED precisely operates at the intersection of media development and urban sustainability, the symposium offered lots of important theoretical and practical insights for the next project stages.

The symposium’s programme included 16 contributors from a wide range of professional backgrounds and locations such as Australia, the United States, Peru, Colombia, the Netherlands, Greece, and Germany. Along the three conceptual dimensions of Imagination, Interaction, and Impact, the contributions referred to the symposium’s guiding question: how can audiovisual media and digital spaces help cities and regions reduce their greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the new realities of climate change – in other words, make sustainable local futures imaginable, negotiable, and desirable?

The organisers have published a blog post with more detailed insights into the discussion, and they invite everyone interested to get in touch about the symposium’s topic and scope. Given the global urban challenges that lie ahead in the context of climate change, it will be more than necessary to continue to intensify the coordinated exchange between practitioners, researchers, and urban societies. LOCALISED thus thanks all contributors for making the symposium a successful step to the next level of our joint efforts!

by Climate Media Factory

Photo: Catharina Dörr, Climate Media Factory

The City of Barcelona, partner of LOCALISED, is the first-ever European Capital of Democracy

The City of Barcelona, partner of LOCALISED, is the first-ever European Capital of Democracy

Support mechanism to foster the implementation of Sustainable Energy and Climate Action Plans (SECAPs) in the Mediterranean

On January the 18th it was announced that The City of Barcelona – LOCALISED partner – is the holder of the first-ever title of European Capital of Democracy (ECoD). The city will host events on citizen participation and democracy, starting from September 2023 and continuing for one year until August 2024.

The jury of the award was made up of 2,500 citizens from all Council of Europe member states. It took the final decision between three shortlisted cities: Brussels, Braga and Barcelona.

Besides instrumental innovations, such as the Decidim platform or the participative budget, the Catalan capital presented different projects related to the urban policies and transformations required to fight and adapt to climate change. One of these was the participatory process related to design the spaces known as the ‘superblocks’. Another was the Citizen Climate Assembly, whose proposals on energy, mobility and consumption were solemnly presented in the very same week.

The capitalship contest is promoted by the Innovation in Politics Institute, and has the support of the Council of Europe, the European Commission and more than 20 other European actors who seek to deepen democracy, such as the Democratic Society and the German Marshall Foundation.

IMAGE: The Mayor of Barcelona with the 100 members of the 1st Climate Asssembly and municipal staff. (2023, January). Ajuntament De Barcelona. https://www.barcelona.cat/infobarcelona/en/tema/environment-and-sustainability/proposals-from-members-of-the-public-to-tackle-the-climate-emergency_1245763.html

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